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Thread: Travel week and Hurricane Michael

  1. #31

    Default Re: Travel week and Hurricane Michael

    I don't think they anticipated this thing exploding like this . . . definitely didn't get that impression early on. Cat 5 direct hit at that location could be BAD, especially depending on the tide cycle.
    GATAlac's First Law of the Interwebs: "As a thread on GSUfans grows longer, the probability of devolving into a debate on the flex approaches 1"

  2. #32

    Default Re: Travel week and Hurricane Michael

    The only thing good about this is that is not a ton of population in this area, and the Forgotten Coast that will see the worst of the surge and winds... Crazy how fast this came up and intensified. Good thing that it will move through inland fast, the Carolinas do NOT need a lot more rain. Buy Oyster futures, Appalachicola Bay is going to take the brunt of it.

    Quote Originally Posted by GATAlac El Dorado View Post
    I don't think they anticipated this thing exploding like this . . . definitely didn't get that impression early on. Cat 5 direct hit at that location could be BAD, especially depending on the tide cycle.

  3. Default Re: Travel week and Hurricane Michael

    Quote Originally Posted by RobFromNorcross View Post
    The only thing good about this is that is not a ton of population in this area, and the Forgotten Coast that will see the worst of the surge and winds... Crazy how fast this came up and intensified. Good thing that it will move through inland fast, the Carolinas do NOT need a lot more rain. Buy Oyster futures, Appalachicola Bay is going to take the brunt of it.
    Appalachicola Bay hasn't been producing oysters for a few years now. Over fishing and climate change has dramatically reduced the numbers the bay used to produce enough to trigger a restoration effort. It's a 5 year effort that's supposed to be completed in 2019.

  4. #34

    Default Re: Travel week and Hurricane Michael

    Quote Originally Posted by TrueBlueDrew View Post
    Appalachicola Bay hasn't been producing oysters for a few years now. Over fishing and climate change has dramatically reduced the numbers the bay used to produce enough to trigger a restoration effort. It's a 5 year effort that's supposed to be completed in 2019.
    Or the 5+ million people now living in the Atlanta MSA and draining the Chattahoochee and Flint River. Or at least that's the reason Florida gives for suing us in the supreme court.

  5. #35

    Default Re: Travel week and Hurricane Michael

    Quote Originally Posted by TrueBlueDrew View Post
    Appalachicola Bay hasn't been producing oysters for a few years now. Over fishing and climate change has dramatically reduced the numbers the bay used to produce enough to trigger a restoration effort. It's a 5 year effort that's supposed to be completed in 2019.
    climate what?

  6. #36
    Join Date
    Mar 2007
    Location
    Warner Robins, GA
    Posts
    25,437

    Default Re: Travel week and Hurricane Michael

    Hurricane over land at Mexico Beach




  7. Default Re: Travel week and Hurricane Michael

    Quote Originally Posted by eaglewraith View Post
    Hurricane over land at Mexico Beach


    INSANE. St. Andrew's is where I grew up. Been trying all day to get updates from old neighbors to see if they're okay.

  8. #38

    Default Re: Travel week and Hurricane Michael

    Quote Originally Posted by GATAlac El Dorado View Post
    I don't think they anticipated this thing exploding like this . . . definitely didn't get that impression early on. Cat 5 direct hit at that location could be BAD, especially depending on the tide cycle.
    According to our Ops Sergeant Major - whose parents decided to ride it out just west of PCB - high tide is 10pm tonight. So there's that, at least.
    Avatar = True Blue sign, standing under the Bill Clinton statue in Pristina, Kosovo, and smoking a cigar.

    -Walt Austin, Forgotten5.com

  9. #39
    Join Date
    Mar 2007
    Location
    Warner Robins, GA
    Posts
    25,437

    Default Re: Travel week and Hurricane Michael

    Also, this storm still shows sign of gaining strength and I'm seeing reports that Hurricane Hunters recorded wind speeds consistent with a Cat 5.


  10. #40

    Default Re: Travel week and Hurricane Michael

    Quote Originally Posted by eaglewraith View Post
    Also, this storm still shows sign of gaining strength and I'm seeing reports that Hurricane Hunters recorded wind speeds consistent with a Cat 5.

    Product: Air Force Vortex Message (URNT12 KNHC)
    Transmitted: 10th day of the month at 17:52Z
    Agency: United States Air Force
    Aircraft: Lockheed WC-130J Hercules with reg. number AF96-5301
    Storm Number & Year: 14 in 2018
    Storm Name: Michael (flight in the North Atlantic basin)
    Mission Number: 15
    Observation Number: 22

    A. Time of Center Fix: 10th day of the month at 17:09:50Z
    B. Center Fix Coordinates: 29.97N 85.64W
    B. Center Fix Location: 14 statute miles (23 km) to the S (174°) from Panama City, FL, USA.
    C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: 2,402m (7,881ft) at 700mb
    D. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 922mb (27.23 inHg) - Extrapolated
    E. Dropsonde Surface Wind at Center (Undecoded): NA
    F. Eye Character: Closed
    G. Eye Shape & Diameter: Circular with a diameter of 18 nautical miles (21 statute miles)
    H. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: 138kts (158.8mph)
    I. Location & Time of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: 12 nautical miles (14 statute miles) to the S (186°) of center fix at 17:06:00Z
    J. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 287° at 129kts (From the WNW at 148.5mph)
    K. Location & Time of the Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 9 nautical miles to the S (187°) of center fix at 17:07:00Z
    L. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind Outbound: 133kts (153.1mph)
    M. Location & Time of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind Outbound: 15 nautical miles (17 statute miles) to the ESE (117°) of center fix at 17:23:30Z
    N. Maximum Flight Level Wind Outbound: From 224° at 152kts (From the SW at 174.9mph)
    O. Location & Time of the Maximum Flight Level Wind Outbound: 12 nautical miles (14 statute miles) to the ESE (117°) of center fix at 17:22:30Z
    P. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 14°C (57°F) at a pressure alt. of 2,962m (9,718ft)
    Q. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 19°C (66°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,048m (10,000ft)
    R. Dewpoint Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): 10°C (50°F)
    R. Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available
    S. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Radar, Wind, Pressure and Temperature
    S. Fix Level: 700mb
    T. Navigational Fix Accuracy: 0.02 nautical miles
    T. Meteorological Accuracy: 1 nautical mile
    Ugh

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